This year is the 50th anniversary of the birth of LED. American scientist Nick Holenak invented the first visible LED in 1962. He Lunak believes that the LED industry has developed to the present day, and its technology and application are still in an immature period of rapid development. How to judge the development stage of China's LED industry, how to treat hot issues such as standards, patents and intellectual property. Invite industry experts to conduct in-depth discussions on topics of current industry concern.
How does topic 1 face the special period of LED development?
Gan Ziyu:
Steady development of the LED industry
The LED industry is developing very fast. In 2011, the total output value of the LED industry has reached more than 110 billion yuan, but we have also encountered some problems. In the face of these problems, we should do the following:
First, calmly respond. We should correctly look at the status quo of the industry, not to be pessimistic and disappointed, but also to be careful not to blindly expand, and not to appear blindly vicious price competition. The winter of the market may take some time to pass. Be full of confidence and believe that the spring of LED will come.
Second, the industry downturn is just an opportunity for us to develop. To cultivate internal strength, enterprises must work hard on the cultivation of talent teams and the mastery of technology.
Third, and most importantly, China's LED industry is facing a very serious transformation task. China is the country with the largest domestic demand for lighting. We must make good use of the large market for LED lighting in China and do a good job in the LED industry.
LED industry risks and opportunities coexist. If our industry has a lot of opportunities to do it, but if it is not good, it will encounter some problems similar to photovoltaics. LED is the focus of the development of local governments and industrial parks. From north to south, the momentum has not been reduced. It is hoped that local governments, investment institutions and enterprises can make rational investments. LED is the future of light source, we must develop the LED industry and let our LED industry develop more steadily.
Jiang Fengyi:
LED technology is still in a period of rapid development
LED is a sunrise industry, currently in infancy, the technical route is full of uncertainty, product upgrading is fast, can not be regarded as a mature industry, the current stage is the key cultivation stage. The three major characteristics of strategic emerging industries are: rapid improvement in product performance, rapid cost reduction, and a gradual increase in the application market. However, at present, some local governments are eager to seek success and put forward unrealistic development goals, and the scale of the industry has reached 10 billion yuan and 100 billion yuan. At this time, investors, scientists, entrepreneurs, and government officials need to be treated rationally and scientifically and orderly, so that good things can be done well and they will be expected to become leading industries in the future.
At present, LED lighting core technology faces development opportunities in many aspects, including MOCVD equipment development opportunities, substrate selection opportunities, epitaxial structure development opportunities, chip structure development opportunities, white light constitutes technological development opportunities, power technology development opportunities, and so on. At present, the research and development progress of domestically produced MOCVD equipment is still good, and the data of domestic equipment is no less than imported equipment.
In view of the current situation of China's LED industry, it is recommended that: First, leading enterprises should carry out technological upgrading on the existing technical routes; second, researchers should carry out research and development of next-generation LED lighting technologies as soon as possible (high-efficiency green, yellow and red LEDs) Third, the state and enterprises should vigorously support the localization of LED equipment; Fourth, the state should macro-control the scale of LED industry development.
Dong Zhijiang:
2013 will be the beginning of indoor lighting
The development of China's LED industry started between 2005 and 2006, and it was crazy between 2009 and 2010. From 2005 to 2006, the mobile phone backlight and display market provided expansion opportunities for the LED industry, and the industry began to rise. Between 2009 and 2010, there were 46 new projects planned for LED chips in China. The total planned investment amounted to 113.1 billion yuan, of which the investment in LED epitaxial chip planning exceeded 70 billion yuan. The number of domestic MOCVD machines increased from 2000 to 2010. The industry is overheated and almost crazy. What is the cause of madness? First, optimistic about the LED TV backlight and general lighting market, and second, the government subsidy policy stimulus. The bitter fruit of madness is that the domestic MOCVD capacity utilization rate was less than 30% in 2011, and it recovered in 2012, not to 60%.
However, after the cold winter, the spring of the LED industry is not far away. The cost performance of LED devices is constantly improving. In 2011, the production of 800lm LED lamps requires 16 chips. In 2015, the number of chips required will be reduced to 5. Between 2011 and 2015, the luminous efficiency of LED lamps will increase by more than 2 times, the life expectancy will increase by 60%, and the production cost will be reduced by nearly 60%. The new round of policy "Sunny Day" also brings the spring news of the LED industry. In the first half of 2012, a new round of central and local industrial support policies has caused the LED industry to heat up rapidly. We look forward to the real rise of the industry. 2013 will be the starting year for large-scale indoor applications of LED lighting products.
How does topic 1 face the special period of LED development?
Gan Ziyu:
Steady development of the LED industry
The LED industry is developing very fast. In 2011, the total output value of the LED industry has reached more than 110 billion yuan, but we have also encountered some problems. In the face of these problems, we should do the following:
First, calmly respond. We should correctly look at the status quo of the industry, not to be pessimistic and disappointed, but also to be careful not to blindly expand, and not to appear blindly vicious price competition. The winter of the market may take some time to pass. Be full of confidence and believe that the spring of LED will come.
Second, the industry downturn is just an opportunity for us to develop. To cultivate internal strength, enterprises must work hard on the cultivation of talent teams and the mastery of technology.
Third, and most importantly, China's LED industry is facing a very serious transformation task. China is the country with the largest domestic demand for lighting. We must make good use of the large market for LED lighting in China and do a good job in the LED industry.
LED industry risks and opportunities coexist. If our industry has a lot of opportunities to do it, but if it is not good, it will encounter some problems similar to photovoltaics. LED is the focus of the development of local governments and industrial parks. From north to south, the momentum has not been reduced. It is hoped that local governments, investment institutions and enterprises can make rational investments. LED is the future of light source, we must develop the LED industry and let our LED industry develop more steadily.
Jiang Fengyi:
LED technology is still in a period of rapid development
LED is a sunrise industry, currently in infancy, the technical route is full of uncertainty, product upgrading is fast, can not be regarded as a mature industry, the current stage is the key cultivation stage. The three major characteristics of strategic emerging industries are: rapid improvement in product performance, rapid cost reduction, and a gradual increase in the application market. However, at present, some local governments are eager to seek success and put forward unrealistic development goals, and the scale of the industry has reached 10 billion yuan and 100 billion yuan. At this time, investors, scientists, entrepreneurs, and government officials need to be treated rationally and scientifically and orderly, so that good things can be done well and they will be expected to become leading industries in the future.
At present, LED lighting core technology faces development opportunities in many aspects, including MOCVD equipment development opportunities, substrate selection opportunities, epitaxial structure development opportunities, chip structure development opportunities, white light constitutes technological development opportunities, power technology development opportunities, and so on. At present, the research and development progress of domestically produced MOCVD equipment is still good, and the data of domestic equipment is no less than imported equipment.
In view of the current situation of China's LED industry, it is recommended that: First, leading enterprises should carry out technological upgrading on the existing technical routes; second, researchers should carry out research and development of next-generation LED lighting technologies as soon as possible (high-efficiency green, yellow and red LEDs) Third, the state and enterprises should vigorously support the localization of LED equipment; Fourth, the state should macro-control the scale of LED industry development.
Dong Zhijiang:
2013 will be the beginning of indoor lighting
The development of China's LED industry started between 2005 and 2006, and it was crazy between 2009 and 2010. From 2005 to 2006, the mobile phone backlight and display market provided expansion opportunities for the LED industry, and the industry began to rise. Between 2009 and 2010, there were 46 new projects planned for LED chips in China. The total planned investment amounted to 113.1 billion yuan, of which the investment in LED epitaxial chip planning exceeded 70 billion yuan. The number of domestic MOCVD machines increased from 2000 to 2010. The industry is overheated and almost crazy. What is the cause of madness? First, optimistic about the LED TV backlight and general lighting market, and second, the government subsidy policy stimulus. The bitter fruit of madness is that the domestic MOCVD capacity utilization rate was less than 30% in 2011, and it recovered in 2012, not to 60%.
However, after the cold winter, the spring of the LED industry is not far away. The cost performance of LED devices is constantly improving. In 2011, the production of 800lm LED lamps requires 16 chips. In 2015, the number of chips required will be reduced to 5. Between 2011 and 2015, the luminous efficiency of LED lamps will increase by more than 2 times, the life expectancy will increase by 60%, and the production cost will be reduced by nearly 60%. The new round of policy "Sunny Day" also brings the spring news of the LED industry. In the first half of 2012, a new round of central and local industrial support policies has caused the LED industry to heat up rapidly. We look forward to the real rise of the industry. 2013 will be the starting year for large-scale indoor applications of LED lighting products.
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